The models for this assessment were developed from the nyiso 2016 reliability needs assessment representation of year 2022 transmission and generation resources were modified based on dpsnyserda inputs see next page to approximate year 2030 summer peak and summer light load conditions load forecast based on 2016 gold book. In the book, maloney details the history of economic cycles, flat currency and the shortsighted decisions governments make that cause flat currencies to lose value over time. Written in clear laymans terms, this forwardthinking book is packed with information to help gold and silver investors navigate an exciting, timely and largely unexplored market. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20142024. New york power pool nypp nyiso 1965 northeast blackout 1970 nypp control center begins operation 1997 nypp files nyiso proposal 1966 new york. The include markets for energy, operating reserves, capacity, and transmission rights.
The ny 2018 wind facilities in the nyiso 2019 gold book table lists all the new york wind energy facilities. Published annually by the nyiso, the gold book presents uptodate transmission and generation data and load forecasts for the 20102020 period. An overview that explains the wisdom of gold and silver investments in todays economic environment. The eight 8 proposed deactivations would result in a loss of 1798 mw of generation capacity. Updates on nyisos comprehensive system planning process. Indian point energy center nuclear plant retirement analysis. The nyca baseline peak demand forecast shows a compound growth rate of 0. The new york independent system operator nyiso, the states grid operator tasked with maintaining the reliability and stability of the grid, published in april 2017 their gold book, which presents the nyisos capacity data for the. Aspen oneliner used for analysis nyiso gold book forecasts for ny wide loads adjustments to load in local areas where necessary to reflect non. Aravella simotas born october 9, 1978 is an american politician and a member of the democratic party, who currently represents parts of western queens, including astoria. Welcome to the new interactive version of iupac compendium of chemical terminology, informally known as the gold book. Summary of changes in summer capacity since the 2012 gold book mw. Ippnyepsa joint answer to nyiso motion requesting ferc. The guide to investing in gold and silver is a virtual gold mine of information about precious metals investing.
I used that information to calculate the annual capacity factor for each facility. The publication surface operating standards and guidelines for oil and gas exploration and development commonly referred to as the gold book was developed to assist operators by providing information on the requirements for obtaining permit approval and conducting environmentally responsible oil and gas operations on federal lands and on private surface over federal minerals. Nyisos 2011 gold book recognizes only the proposed retirement of part of nrgs astoria plant by 2015, which would reduce interim capability by almost 107 mw for the new york city market in the forecast, unless the proposed new plant is readied by the same period. The cra study states that new capacity will be needed to meet reliability requirements in 2016. Nyiso power trends identifies key issues for new yorks.
The bayonne energy center 500 mw and the marble river wind farms 215 mw are new generators that nyiso assumes are very likely to reach based on the 2012 nyiso gold book data, without ipec, new york is projected to maintain surplus capacity through 2020. Gold book forecast new york state reliability council. A field guide for prospectors and geologists wyoming. We assumed the following dates for nuclear unit retirements in new york. Aug 12, 2011 few other geologists in history have been as successful at finding gold and other mineral deposits as the authors.
Book presents new york control area system, transmission and generation data and nyiso load. An overview that explains the wisdom of gold and silver investments in. Load forecasts for the nyca are presented in the nyiso 2008 load and capacity data gold book nyiso, 2008b. Load and capacity fixed for the 2016 through 2020 study. Executive summary the new york independent system operator nyiso is at the center of this changing landscape. Nyiso base cases for load flow and transient stability ferc 715. Nyiso 2016 gold book, nyiso class year 2015 materials, icf calculations demand curve bullish as well by 2021, the lhv demand curve is projected to be 34% higher and steeper than 2016, due to the outcome of the latest demand curve reset, projected increases in the net cost of new entry net cone, and modest load growth. He and six other geologists were awarded the 2009 thayer lindsley award for an international mineral discovery by canadas pdac for his work on the donlin creek gold deposit in alaska. Another list of future projects derived from the 2016 gold book includes. Potomac economics serves as the market monitoring unit mmu to the new york iso board of directors. Nyiso misleads on wind energy when it could have done much. Historic and forecast peak demand, energy usage, and energy efficiency. As shown in the charts below, the peak load forecast has been revised down substantially compared to the 2017 gold book forecast. Nyiso 2019 baseline coincident peak, table i3a gold book.
New york iso says enough power there for the next 10 years. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 2016 2026. This report presents the new york independent system operator, inc. The senior author discovered hundreds of gold anomalies and was on the discovery team of one of the largest gold deposits in north america in the kuskokwim mountains of alaska and made the initial discovery of an entire gold district in the rattlesnake hills of wyoming, which is. In addition to the baseline forecast, the nyiso has high and low forecasts for each zone, representing an 80% confidence interval, using the baseline forecast as the midpoint, with the high and low forecasts based on extreme weather assumptions. Energy and ancillary computation performed by dps staff using nyiso monthly reports and 2018 nyiso gold book all supply costs are priced at market. Psse used for analysis nyiso data for short circuit studies. The new york independent system operator nyiso is a notforprofit corporation responsible for operating the states bulk electricity grid, administering new yorks competitive wholesale electricity markets, conducting comprehensive longterm planning for the states electric power system, and advancing the technological infrastructure of. Nyiso 2019 baseline noncoincident peak, table i4a gold book.
This is a list of electricitygenerating power stations in new york, sorted by type and name. The role and economic impacts of a arbon price in nyiso s. Nyiso is an independent, non profit organization that uses rules and regulations to ensure reliability and integrity so that our grid performs flawlessly to deliver electricity to our homes and businesses. Consistent with the 2016 gold book, we assume load will fall from 162 twh in 2015 to 157 twh in 2025. Nyiso load forecasts for the years 2012 to 2022, and the transmission and generation data for the new york control. Nyiso expects up to 8,900 mw to be offline throughout the end of march due to scheduled maintenance and as much as 11,250 mw to be offline through midapril. This assessment was conducted by the nyiso pursuant to a confidential request by the new. The seven sections of this load and capacity data report gold book address the following topics. If this is typical annual production, these facilities may be subject to the doers required cso for nonintermittent facilities. Energy and ancillary computation performed by dps staff using nyiso monthly reports and 2018 nyiso gold book. Draft version 2014 nyiso gold book wny peace center.
Nyiso comprehensive system planning process cspp annual local transmission owner plans ltps. Existing and proposed generation and other capacity resources. Based on the nyiso 20 gold book, 8% of the generating capacity is fueled by. Aspen oneliner used for analysis nyiso gold book forecasts for ny wide loads adjustments to load in local areas where necessary to reflect noncoincident peaks 9010, localized load growth 2. Since the 20 gold book, 122 mw of summer capacity has been retired or. Working with new york state and federal policymakers and over 400 market participants, the nyiso serves as an independent organization responsible for operating new yorks bulk power system and wholesale energy markets, 24 hours a. In april, the new york independent system operator nyiso released its.
Nyisos baseline forecast is reported in tables i1a and i2a. Nyiso load forecasts for the years 20 to 2023, and the transmission and generation data for the new york control area nyca. To learn more about this new interactive version see the about page updated july 1st, 2019. Nyiso s 2011 gold book recognizes only the proposed retirement of part of nrgs astoria plant by 2015, which would reduce interim capability by almost 107 mw for the new york city market in the forecast, unless the proposed new plant is readied by the same period. New york independent system operator 2010 gold book forecast revised. The 2016 baseline forecast includes the impacts of energy efficiency, distributed energy resources, and behindthemeter solar pv, while the high load forecast does not. Historic and forecast seasonal peak demand, energy usage, and energy efficiency impacts. The new york iso is a nonprofit company that runs the wholesale markets for electricity and related services and operates the transmission system in new york state. The 2016 celt reported that historic nel has flattened in the last.
Note that there is a wide variation of capacity factors, that the highest is. The energy growth rate over the first ten years in the 2018 forecast is slightly lower. Nyiso 2019 90th percentile baseline coincident peak, table i7a. Currently still in the 2016 2017 public policy transmission. The nyiso table provides the name plate ratings and 2018 net energy produced.
Dec 09, 2016 2000 2016 new york independent system operator, inc. In addition to the baseline forecast, the nyiso has high and low forecasts for each zone, representing an 80% confidence interval, using the baseline forecast as the midpoint, with the high and low forecasts based on. Leis forecast analysis relied on nyisos 2015 gold book demand. Outlook for the new york wholesale power markets and analysis of. This forecast for the years through 2027 is the time frame of nyisos official forecast for electricity demand and supply. New york independent system operator 2010 gold book forecast revised draft for discussion only. If it is assumed that congestion outside of these transparent markets is similar to congestion within them, dividing annual congestion costs totals from table 1 by. Summary of changes in summer capacity since the 2012 gold book mw generator type 2012 capacity retirements additions and uprates reclassification. While nyiso is generally agnostic about how electricity is generated, they are experimenting with large scale wind and solar. During this same period, the net energy forecast shows a compound growth rate of 1. Indian point nuclear plant closure impacts btu analytics. We understand that energy industry professionals, government officials and the investment community alike rely on the nyisos. If we make the generous assumption that hydro quebec can backfill 1,000 mw from indian point, then what capacity additions would it take to backfill with gas, solar, and wind.
Nuclear unit retirement source indian point energy center unit 2 4302020 nyiso 2019 gold book, table iv5. This video provides a quick, 10 minute introduction to the guardian of our grid, the new york independent system operator or nyiso. Capacity computations performed by dps staff using published nyiso capacity auction results energy and ancillary computation performed by dps staff using nyiso monthly reports and 2016 nyiso gold book all supply costs are priced at market. The nyiso employs a twostage process in developing load. Nyisos planning processes the new york independent system operator nyiso was formed in 1997 and commenced operations in 1999. On these pages you will find a new browsable, version of this publication. Currently still in the 20162017 public policy transmission planning process pptpp cycle. Bulletins and user guides to assist with information needed to participate in the nyisoadministered markets. Nyiso s baseline forecast is reported in tables i1a and i2a.
There is a hydro quebec hertelnew york project that the nyiso 2016 gold book has bringing 1,000 mw online in 2019. The nyiso has posted its final 2018 gold book, which includes demand forecasts for nyiso overall and each zone within the state. Dec 26, 2019 the ny 2018 wind facilities in the nyiso 2019 gold book table lists all the new york wind energy facilities. Dan hausel is only one of a handful of geologists in history who made more than one major gold discovery. A more complete list can be found on the nyiso website in the planning data and reference docs section where an annual report call the load and capacity data report, or the gold book is listed. Congestion reverses power price trends in new york iso. As of 2018, of the 19 astoria facilities listed in the 2018 nyiso gold book as being owned by nrg, 7 of the facilities are on the deactivated list at a total of 140 mw of capacity rights, and 12 of the facilities at a total of 558 mw in nameplate capacity have each consistently produced less than 15 gwh a year since 2011. Generating companies call it the gold book, both for its color and for the opportunities it presents for making large scale, profitable investments. Sep 16, 2019 another important report is the gold book.
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